He does have an 80.2 LOB%, which should regress negatively. He relies heavily on a fastball-slider combo, like Greene, but sits in the low 90s on average.Įxpected metrics are all over the place for Seabold, who has an 圎RA of 4.13 - below his actual ERA - but an xFIP of 5.20. His glaring issue is a 15.9 K%, rarely generating chases out of the zone. The Rockies will throw out Connor Seabold, who has been solid as a fill-in reliever and recent-starter. I expect him to shore up those little mistakes and churn out much better outings to end May. It seems like every start Greene looks unhittable for a few innings before one or two slip-ups. The Bat and ZIPS had Greene’s projected BABIP closer to the. 373 and should positively regress for the right-hander. Greene has been a subject of some poor luck, too. His hard-hit% remains in the 40s and his xSLG sits just shy of. The issue has been an occasional loss of command or grooving a fastball that’s turned on and sent to the second deck. He can hit triple-digits with his heater and the slider (.173 xBA) remains one of the most effective pitches in baseball. He was one of the best pitchers in baseball over the last month of the 2022 season - 29 IP, 2R, 45 Ks in his final five starts - and that same dominance has shown in spurts to begin 2023. I was extremely high on Hunter Greene entering the season.
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